To achieve a target of €100,000 per year in profits for the partnership, we would have to sell around 820 caskets per year. This is assuming that we can sell them for at least €500 each, have variable costs of €350 per casket, and annual fixed costs of €23,000 per year.
The variable costs were determined as follows:
- €250 per casket (which is what the undertaker pays for the caskets he sells to his custumers for €500);
- €50 per casket for paint / printing material (W.A.G.)
- €50 per casket for marketing (using Google Adsense)
The fixed costs were determined as follows:
- €17,400 annuallly for the rental of workspace
- €4,000 annually for equipment depreciation
- €1,600 annually for interest on loan to buy printer (note: if we want to pay off the loan, we will need to spend an addition €3,400 per year to pay down the principle of the loan)
Based on these numbers (which I explain in further detail below), if we sell 1,000 caskets, our Earnings Before Taxes (EBT) will be €127,000 and the earnings per casket (epc) will be €127. If we sell 750 caskets, EBT will be €89,500 and epc would be €119. If we sell 500 caskets, EBT would be €52,000 and epc would be €104. To get an EBT of €100,000 we would have to sell 820 caskets.
Equipment:
For these calculations, I assumed that we would only utilize machines that were capable of printing pictures on wood (see a video of an example of one on YouTube: http://youtu.be/DrJhL2WOudg). For a rough estimate of what one of these machines would cost, I looked at Alibaba. The prices of similar printers on Alibaba.com vary from US$13,000 to US$20,000. To be conservative, I used the most expensive printer for my calculations. On top of the price listed on Alibaba, we would also have to pay for shipping and handling and import duties. Therefore I assumed that one printer would cost €20,000. As well, I am assuming that the printer's useful life is only 5 years, and that one printer can meet a demand of 1,000 caskets per year (or around 3 caskets per day). For an example of this printer on Alibaba, click this link: http://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/plane-table-printers-multifunction-large-format_1965119375.html
Interest:
The interested was determine from what I pay on my line of credit, prime plus 4%. If we were to secure the loan against the printer, this financing cost will be much cheaper.
How many years will it take to reach 100k profit? And what milestones you need to achieve?
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Luca
Yes! The reversed income statement! Now I am curious: what are your specific assumptions about how to get those 820 sales. You did a good job already thinking about costs, etc. But how about the marketing and sales strategies and their effectiveness? What does it take to be able to sell 820 units? How many sales channels do you need? Think AIDA: What do you assume is the number of people that you reach (Awareness), how many will be Interested, how many will come to Desire you product, and how many will actually buy (become "Activated")?
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